Retinoblastom - Forum

Jemma · Mitglied Beiträge: 174

If, instead, we assume that it is a hugely important match for the home team, and a meaningless match for the away team, the home team’s chances of winning would go up to 58 percent, and the away team’s chances would go down to 18 percent.

Vicente · Mitglied Beiträge: 162

Zitat: Jemma

If, instead, we assume that it is a hugely important match for the home team, and a meaningless match for the away team, the home team’s chances of winning would go up to 58 percent, and the away team’s chances would go down to 18 percent.

On the other hand, if the match was meaningless to both teams, the home team’s chances of winning would go down to 43 percent, and the away team’s chances would go up to 30 percent.

Travis · Mitglied Beiträge: 153

The improvement we see in our match forecasts when incorporating match importance is about one-third the size of the improvement we saw when we added expected-goals metrics in 2016, and about one-half the size of the improvement we saw when we incorporated market values in preseason ratings for 2017.8

Jemma · Mitglied Beiträge: 174

Zitat: Travis

The improvement we see in our match forecasts when incorporating match importance is about one-third the size of the improvement we saw when we added expected-goals metrics in 2016, and about one-half the size of the improvement we saw when we incorporated market values in preseason ratings for 2017.8

Most club soccer matches are played against teams from the same domestic league, but some matches — like those in the UEFA Champions and Europa leagues — can be played against teams from different countries.

Vicente · Mitglied Beiträge: 162

To assess the relative strength of domestic leagues, we use recent matches played between teams from different leagues, supplemented with league market values from Transfermarkt, to assign a strength rating to every league for which we have data.

Travis · Mitglied Beiträge: 153

Zitat: Vicente

To assess the relative strength of domestic leagues, we use recent matches played between teams from different leagues, supplemented with league market values from Transfermarkt, to assign a strength rating to every league for which we have data.

To generate these league strength ratings, we’ve set up a system where we first assume that all leagues are of equal strength and determine how far above or below expectation each league has performed over the past five years. In order, we